比特幣即將爆發?分析師揭示潛在漲勢




比特幣力量法則顯示「彈簧狀態」準備向上爆發:分析師

根據作者及分析師亞當·利文斯頓的說法,比特幣(BTC)自2024年3月以來一直保持在其「公平價值」附近,並準備向上爆發。

比特幣的力量法則將BTC的「公平價值」設定為142,000美元,並預測到2025年12月31日,BTC的上限價格約為512,000美元,而最低價位則略高於50,000美元。利文斯頓表示,自2024年3月以來,價格「緊貼」公平價值線是相當不尋常的,這表明比特幣準備向上爆發。他補充說:

> “每次BTC出現這種情況時,通常會發生兩種情況:要麼因為相對於其長期力量法則被低估而向上爆發,要麼短暫下跌至下限,然後比之前更快地垂直上升。”

這一看漲的價格預測出現在分析師們對比特幣預測下調及加密貨幣價格下跌的背景下,投資者擔心下一個熊市已經開始。

市場分析師和加密行業高管下調BTC價格預測

隨著10月市場歷史性崩盤,數家投資公司下調了對比特幣的價格預測,該崩盤使BTC價格跌破100,000美元這一關鍵心理價位。Galaxy在周三將其2025年年末預測從180,000美元下調至120,000美元,理由是10月市場崩盤、市場成熟導致的波動性降低,以及投資者轉向人工智能等競爭性敘事。

Galaxy的全公司研究負責人亞歷克斯·索恩表示:「如果比特幣能維持在100,000美元水平,我們相信近三年的牛市將保持結構性完整,儘管未來的增長速度可能會較慢。」索恩還表示,10月的加密市場崩盤「實質性損害」了短期的看漲價格趨勢,但他對比特幣的長期價格走勢仍然持樂觀態度。

投資公司Ark Invest的創始人凱西·伍德也因穩定幣侵蝕比特幣的市場份額而將其長期BTC價格預測下調了30萬美元,因為穩定幣在新興經濟體中滿足了對價值儲存資產的需求。

這些分析和預測反映了當前市場的高度不確定性,尤其是在加密貨幣市場經歷了劇烈波動之後。雖然有些分析師對比特幣的未來持樂觀態度,但市場情緒的轉變和外部因素的影響可能會導致投資者的信心受到打擊。這也提醒我們,在進行投資決策時,必須仔細考慮市場的動態和潛在風險。

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