比特幣「牛市交叉」再度閃現，50%以上的平均回報
比特幣的價格可能在七月或八月飆升至12萬美元，因為對沖基金的累積進一步強化了對BTC價格的樂觀預期。
比特幣的隨機相對強弱指數（stochastic RSI）顯示出一個牛市交叉，這一指標在歷史上通常會引發價格的急劇反彈。
隨機相對強弱指數根據價格在特定期間內的變動相對於其範圍來追蹤動能。這一經典指標的值介於0到100之間，超過80被視為過度購買，而低於20則被認為是過度賣出。
根據圖表，藍色的%K線從超賣區域上穿橙色的%D線，這在技術上暗示著上行動能的增強。
另一個12萬美元的比特幣價格目標出現
歷史分形顯示，每當每週隨機相對強弱指數出現牛市交叉時，比特幣通常會在三到五個月內經歷急劇的價格回升。在這些回升中，平均增幅約為56%，包括一些漲幅超過90%的情況。
這包括從2022年11月的低點大約90%的反彈，2023年底的92%增長，以及在2025年1月比特幣最近創下的約11萬美元的歷史新高中，驚人的98%漲幅。
如果歷史重演，比特幣可能在七月或八月出現另一波拋物線式的上漲，這與之前隨機相對強弱指數的牛市交叉相符，帶來超額回報。
市場分析師Merjin the Trader表示，如果隨機相對強弱指數的分形如預期發揮作用，比特幣的價格至少可以達到12萬美元。
同時，比特幣的牛市反轉前景還受到其50週指數移動平均線（50-week EMA；圖中的紅色波浪）的進一步支持，該指數約為77,230美元。
自2023年10月以來，50週EMA波浪一直是交易者強力累積的區域。
如果比特幣的價格明確跌破50週EMA，則可能會向下一個支撐目標靠攏，約在200週EMA（藍色波浪）附近，約為50,480美元，這比當前價格低約40%。
比特幣對沖基金正在逢低買入
另一個牛市信號來自於在當前價格修正期間的對沖基金累積。
全球加密貨幣對沖基金正在增加其比特幣的持倉，根據最新的20日滾動β值，已上升至四個月以來的高點。這表明機構投資者正在逢低買入，為潛在的上漲做好準備。
β值測量對沖基金回報與比特幣運動的相關性。當β值超過1.0時，表明該基金的漲幅超過比特幣的價格；相反，當β值低於1.0時，該基金的變動幅度低於比特幣。
目前β值達到四個月的高點，這意味著對沖基金認為最近的比特幣回調是一個買入機會，並預期未來價格將上漲，進一步強化了上述12萬美元的價格預期。
如Cointelegraph報導，12萬美元以上的目標正在成為2025年夏季的熱門預測。
這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險，讀者在做出決策時應自行研究。
在這篇文章中，我們可以看到比特幣市場的動態正在發生變化，尤其是隨著對沖基金的進一步參與，市場的信心似乎正在增強。這不僅是一個技術指標的表現，更是市場參與者對未來價格走勢的預期。隨著更多機構投資者的進入，這可能會進一步推動比特幣的價格上漲，並使其成為一個更受關注的資產類別。值得注意的是，雖然歷史數據提供了一定的參考，但市場的不可預測性仍然存在，投資者在追逐潛在的高回報時，必須保持謹慎。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
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![{
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",
"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra performing a sacred night-time royal dance, embodying divine seduction, power, and celestial authority.",
"angle": "Full-body high-fashion editorial portrait captured at a cinematic 3/4 angle, ultra-crisp clarity with no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is captured mid-dance inside a temple courtyard at night, her body angled gracefully, hips grounded, torso lifted, creating a powerful and sensual silhouette.",
"movement": "Her arms are raised in slow ceremonial motion while one leg steps forward, fully revealing her feet and lower legs as part of the ritual stance.",
"expression": "A calm, hypnotic, commanding gaze directed toward the camera—quiet dominance wrapped in sensual mystery."
}
},
"appearance": {
"outfit": "An ultra-bongga Cleopatra couture gown with an all-crystal bodice that fits like jeweled armor. Thousands of hand-set crystals, diamonds, and glass stones in gold, champagne, clear, and iridescent tones form sacred Egyptian motifs—cobras, sun disks, lotus symbols—entirely through crystal placement. The neckline is daring yet elegant, supported by invisible illusion mesh. From the waist, the skirt opens into flowing sheer silk and organza panels in ivory and soft gold, designed with a high front opening that intentionally exposes her legs and feet during movement. Crystal chains and beaded fringe sway rhythmically with every step, enhancing sensual motion.",
"accessories": "A dramatic Egyptian ceremonial headpiece with gold and crystal detailing, an oversized layered gold collar necklace, sculpted crystal arm cuffs, finger armor rings, a crystal-and-gold waist belt, and delicate gold anklets accentuating her bare feet.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek, glossy, and perfectly controlled, styled to balance the weight of the crystal headpiece while allowing elegant movement.",
"makeup": "Ultra-glam, colorful Egyptian night makeup—bold elongated black kohl eyeliner, intense eyeshadow layered in turquoise, emerald, sapphire blue, violet, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, intricate ceremonial ink drawings in fine black and gold lines inspired by ancient Egyptian markings. Skin is luminous with molten-gold highlights, brows strong and defined, lips finished in a sensual nude-bronze satin."
},
"props": {
"ritual_elements": [
"Burning incense bowls releasing thick aromatic smoke",
"Golden sistrum placed near the dance space",
"Tall ceremonial torches lining the temple floor"
]
},
"background": {
"macro_environment": "A grand ancient Egyptian temple courtyard at night, reserved for sacred royal rituals.",
"midground_details": "Towering sandstone columns, massive statues of Isis and Hathor, carved temple walls, flowing linen drapes, and ceremonial platforms illuminated by firelight.",
"micro_elements": "Torch flames reflecting off crystal surfaces, fine dust particles glowing in the night air, incense smoke wrapping around her legs and feet, detailed stone floor textures beneath her bare feet, crystal fringe in motion, and sharply defined shadows—everything rendered in extreme detail with zero blur."
},
"lighting": {
"type": "Cinematic night lighting using torches, oil lamps, and subtle moonlight.",
"effect": "Firelight ignites the crystal bodice with prismatic sparkle while moonlight softly outlines her legs and feet, creating a dramatic, sensual, and divine atmosphere."
},
"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "50mm prime lens",
"aperture": "f/8 for full-body and environment sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/200s to freeze elegant motion clearly",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on crystal bodice, facial features, legs, feet, and temple details, no bokeh, no blur"
},
"style": "Ultra high-fashion editorial, night temple ritual, all-crystal couture, sexy yet sacred, ancient Egyptian royalty reimagined, cinematic realism, extremely detailed, sharp, iconic"
}](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766006158-167x300.png)
