比特幣六月目標126K，牛市回歸在即！

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比特幣預測六月目標126,000美元，數據顯示牛市回歸

比特幣即將迎來通常是其兩個最佳月份之一的時期，而一個預測工具則預測比特幣價格將重回發現階段。

根據網絡經濟學家提摩太·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）的說法，如果歷史模式重演，比特幣在今年六月有可能創下新的歷史高點。

3月15日上傳至X的數據顯示，比特幣/美元（BTC/USD）有約兩個半月的時間來突破其109,000美元的紀錄。

四月可能引發比特幣價格上漲50%

自1月中旬達到高點以來，比特幣已下跌30%。這一幅度的下跌特徵是牛市修正，彼得森敏銳地感受到反彈的潛力。

“比特幣目前的交易價格接近其歷史季節範圍的低端，”他在比較比特幣價格周期的圖表中指出。

“幾乎所有比特幣的年度表現都發生在兩個月：四月和十月。因此，比特幣在六月之前達到新的歷史高點是完全有可能的。”

彼得森多年來創建了各種比特幣價格指標。其中一個名為最低價格前瞻（Lowest Price Forward），成功定義了在某一時點上穿越後，比特幣/美元不會再跌破的水平。

在2020年3月從多年的低點恢復後，最低價格前瞻預測比特幣的價格將不會再在9,000美元以下交易。

同時，根據Cointelegraph報導，今年出現了一個新的可能底部水平：69,000美元，該水平有“95%的機會”能夠保持。

接著，彼得森提出了一個中位數目標為126,000美元，截止日期為6月1日。

他還展示了一個顯示100美元在比特幣中表現的圖表，並指出，疲弱的牛市表現總是暫時的。

“比特幣在趨勢下方的平均時間為4個月，”他解釋道。

“紅色虛線趨勢線=6月1日的126,000美元。”

比特幣牛市回調的標準模式

其他市場評論員繼續強調，比特幣最近回落至76,000美元的情況是標準的修正行為。

“你不必查看之前的比特幣牛市來理解修正是周期的一部分，”流行交易者和分析師Rekt Capital在3月初對此現象的分析中寫道。

Rekt Capital指出，在當前周期中，他所稱的五次“重大回調”自2023年初以來已經發生。

加密貨幣交易所Bitfinex的分析師在本週末告訴Cointelegraph，目前的低點標誌著一次“洗盤”，而不是當前周期的結束。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險，讀者在做出決策時應自行進行研究。

—

在當前的市場環境中，比特幣的波動性仍然引人注目，尤其是在經濟不確定性加劇的背景下。彼得森的預測無疑為投資者提供了一個樂觀的視角，但也提醒我們，市場的變化往往難以預測。投資者應該保持謹慎，隨時準備應對可能出現的風險。未來幾個月將是關鍵時期，值得密切關注比特幣的價格走勢及其對整體市場的影響。

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