比特幣突破可能在1月FOMC會議之前發生:10x研究
比特幣的價格在1月底的美國聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議之前,可能會出現突破,但方向尚不明朗,這是來自一位加密貨幣分析師的觀點。
比特幣的“收窄三角形”暗示即將突破
10x研究的研究主管馬庫斯·提倫(Markus Thielen)在1月14日的市場報告中表示:“比特幣目前在一個收窄的三角形內交易,這表明突破即將來臨——可能不會晚於1月29日的FOMC會議。”
他指出,從交易的角度來看,最佳策略是跟隨突破的方向,不論是向上還是向下。
提倫提到,市場對消費者物價指數(CPI)上升的預期增加,這意味著如果通脹數據低於預期,可能會引發比特幣的反彈。
1月的FOMC會議是2025年的首次利率決策,這一日期受到加密市場參與者的密切關注,因為美聯儲在12月發出的鷹派言論。
Bitfinex在1月13日的市場報告中表示,這是“最近幾個月美聯儲最鷹派的立場之一”。在12月4日,美聯儲主席鮑威爾在降息的新聞發布會上暗示,2025年可能會比最初預期的減息次數少,這對比特幣等高風險資產來說是一個看跌信號。
分析師對比特幣持謹慎態度,因特朗普就職在即
Bitfinex還提到CME FedWatch工具,顯示交易者在美聯儲基金期貨市場中估計,美聯儲在2025年上半年不會進行任何降息的概率為38.3%。
提倫對比特幣的價格持謹慎態度,因為唐納德·特朗普的美國總統任期將於1月20日開始,他指出比特幣可能在接下來的兩個月內開始整合:“由於市場動力疲弱,比特幣可能會在3月中之前保持區間波動。”
在過去24小時內,比特幣的價格上漲了1.97%。來源:CoinMarketCap
同時,加密貨幣分析師拉克·戴維斯(Lark Davis)在1月14日的X發文中提到:“比特幣的價格行為與上次總統選舉和就職典禮相似。”
他在價格圖表上強調,在2021年拜登就職之前,比特幣曾跌至3萬美元附近,隨後在就職後反彈至5萬5千美元。
“雖然歷史不一定會重演,但往往會有相似之處,”戴維斯說。
這篇文章僅供一般資訊參考,並非法律或投資建議。這裡表達的觀點、想法和意見僅代表作者本人,不一定反映或代表Cointelegraph的觀點和意見。
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在這篇報導中,我們看到比特幣市場面臨的多重因素,包括即將召開的FOMC會議及其對市場的潛在影響。特別是提倫提到的“收窄三角形”形態,這是一個技術分析中常見的信號,表明市場可能會出現劇烈波動。這種情況下,投資者應該謹慎行事,尤其是在特朗普即將就職的背景下,政治因素也可能對市場情緒產生影響。
此外,戴維斯提到的歷史相似性,提醒我們市場行為往往會受到過去事件的影響。這不僅是對比特幣的技術分析,也是一種對市場情緒和心理的深刻理解。總體而言,這篇報導強調了在不確定的市場環境中,投資者需要保持靈活和警覺。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。


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