比特幣企穩9.8萬美元,四大看漲因素助BTC再創新高

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比特幣為何仍然看漲的四個原因,BTC價格突破98,000美元

比特幣的價格在本周早些時候經歷了一次崩盤後,已經回升至98,000美元的水平,數據顯示新的歷史高點可能即將到來。

自2024年11月初以來,比特幣的價格多次跌破98,000美元,但它能夠重新奪回這一水平,通常會導致新的歷史高點出現。

目前,比特幣的價格穩定在98,000美元以上,幾個技術指標和鏈上數據都顯示,BTC在短期內可能會進一步上漲。

交易所比特幣供應量減少

支持比特幣上漲的一個因素是交易所上的供應量減少。在過去六個月內,交易所的BTC餘額減少了13%,從2024年8月9日的310萬BTC下降至2025年2月5日的267萬BTC,創下六年來的新低。

這一減少伴隨著同一時期內比特幣價格上漲62%的趨勢。

當比特幣投資者將資金從集中交易所(CEX)錢包轉移到自我保管錢包時,這表明他們並不打算出售,而是期待未來的價格上漲。

在2月5日,有超過17,000 BTC被提取,其中15,000 BTC來自美國的Coinbase交易所。

這標誌著自2024年4月以來最大的比特幣交易所提取,Bitwise的歐洲研究主管安德烈·德拉戈什表示:“大戶正在買入這一跌幅。”

市場情報公司Santiment也觀察到類似情況,指出在比特幣最近的價格回調後,大戶正在積累比特幣。“這為加密市場的市值上升創造了理想的條件,即使這需要幾周(甚至幾個月)才能看到大戶吸納幣種的普遍看漲影響。”

美國美元走弱

美國美元指數(DXY)是一個追蹤美元對主要世界貨幣表現的指標,自2月3日109.51的高點下跌了1.7%,降至107.673,這是因為特朗普總統對加拿大和墨西哥的關稅威脅。

隨後對墨西哥和加拿大的關稅暫停為市場帶來了一些緩解,DXY在2月5日從106.91的低點回升。

美元走弱對於包括比特幣在內的風險資產來說是“極為看漲的”,加密影響者拉克·戴維斯表示:“如果DXY繼續下跌,並且考慮到美國SBR和國家層面的比特幣FOMO等所有看漲催化劑,這可能標誌著加密牛市的下一階段。”

現貨比特幣ETF資金流入持強

比特幣價格還受到美國現貨比特幣ETF的推動,這些ETF在過去兩周內吸引了約25億美元的資金流入。事實上,自2024年1月11日這些投資產品在美國市場首次亮相以來,已經吸引了400億美元的資本。

機構需求的增加令人鼓舞,因為這被認為是比特幣去年吸引力的關鍵部分,2024年比特幣的漲幅超過133%。

這一趨勢在所有其他比特幣產品中也得到了反映,CoinShares最新的數字資產基金流入周報指出,截至1月31日的一周內,流入比特幣投資基金的資金總額達到4.86億美元。

比特幣的牛市旗幟指向更多上漲空間

儘管本周早些時候比特幣價格下跌,但在每週圖表上可以看到一個牛市旗幟,這暗示著上漲趨勢的延續。

比特幣的多頭專注於將旗幟的上邊界101,800美元轉變為支撐位。如果每週的K線收盤高於這一水平,將標誌著從圖表形態的看漲突破,預示著將會有一波漲至167,000美元的行情。這樣的漲幅將代表從當前價格上漲70%。

相對強弱指數(RSI)在63的位置也表明市場條件仍然有利於上漲。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的市場環境中,比特幣的上漲潛力似乎不斷增強,這不僅是因為供應減少和機構需求增加,還因為美元的走弱為風險資產提供了更大的吸引力。隨著大戶的積極買入行為以及ETF的資金流入,市場的整體情緒似乎正在向好發展。這也提醒我們,在投資加密貨幣時,應該密切關注市場動態和宏觀經濟因素的變化,這將對未來的價格走勢產生深遠影響。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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