比特幣五連升衝破九萬二美元關口

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比特幣瞄準三個月以來最長連續上升走勢

比特幣於周一亞洲交易時段上漲逾1%，有望連續五個交易日上升，創下自去年十月以來最長的連勝紀錄。

根據CoinDesk數據，比特幣（BTC）價格由約91,480美元攀升至92,500美元，最高一度突破93,000美元。其他主要加密貨幣如XRP、Solana（SOL）及以太坊（ETH）亦錄得0.7%至1%的漲幅。CoinDesk 20及CoinDesk 80指數分別上升1.5%，反映整體市場氣氛向好。

10x Research創辦人Markus Thielen在Telegram向CoinDesk表示：「市場情緒正改善，比特幣及以太坊均轉入牛市趨勢。」他補充指，隨著去年12月底期權到期，稅務損失拋售減退，交易台恢復靈活性，市場態度轉趨建設性。

過去12月，美國持有者因稅務考慮大量拋售虧損資產以抵銷資本利得，令比特幣及整體加密市場表現低迷。2025年比特幣表現落後納斯達克、黃金及其他貴金屬，全年下跌約6%，尤其在北美交易時段表現疲弱。

近期比特幣反彈亦與美國拘捕委內瑞拉總統馬杜羅有關，市場視之為地緣政治緊張升溫下的避險需求。Bitget首席分析師Ryan Lee指出，多種資產同步上漲是典型的資金避險行為，黃金及白銀價格急升，反映投資者對地緣風險持續或加劇的擔憂。

Lee續指，油價暫時穩定於每桶約60美元，限制通脹壓力，但市場已開始計價未來能源供應中斷及流動性收緊的風險，可能迫使美聯儲長期維持高利率。

Thielen認為，只要比特幣價格維持在21天指數移動平均線以上，短期走勢仍偏多。根據SoSoValue數據，11隻比特幣現貨交易所交易基金（ETF）於上周五吸引超過4.71億美元資金流入，為自去年11月11日以來單日最大淨流入。

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編者評論與深入分析

比特幣近期的連續上漲反映出市場情緒的明顯回暖，特別是在稅務季節結束後，拋售壓力減輕，資金重新流入加密市場。這種現象提醒我們，加密貨幣市場不僅受技術面影響，更深受宏觀經濟與政策因素牽動。

地緣政治事件如美國對委內瑞拉的軍事行動，進一步強化了比特幣作為「數碼黃金」的避險資產角色。這種避險需求在全球經濟不確定性增加時尤為明顯，顯示加密貨幣的市場定位正逐步成熟。

此外，ETF資金流入的增加，標誌著機構投資者對比特幣的接受度提升。這不僅帶來流動性增強，也可能推動價格形成更穩健的上升趨勢。然而，投資者仍需警惕市場波動性及政策風險，尤其是在全球利率政策與地緣政治局勢尚未明朗的背景下。

總括而言，比特幣的多日連勝不只是短期技術反彈，更是一個指標，顯示加密市場正逐步走向成熟與多元化。未來投資者應密切關注宏觀經濟動態、政策變化及市場結構演變，才能更好把握加密資產的投資機遇與風險。

以上文章由GPT 所翻譯及撰寫。圖片由Gemini 根據內容自動生成。

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