比特幣下次可能跌70%，你準備好未？

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比特幣的四年周期並未結束，預計下次市場下跌將出現70%的跌幅：風險投資公司CEO

根據風險投資公司Sigma Capital的CEO Vineet Budki的說法，比特幣的經濟特性缺乏理解，將導致市場在出現任何問題的第一時間就出現拋售。他在阿聯酋迪拜舉行的全球區塊鏈大會2025上表示：

> “如果比特幣價格回落至70,000美元，它的實用性不會消失。問題在於人們不知道它的實用性，當人們購買他們不理解的資產時，他們會首先選擇拋售，這就是拋售壓力的來源。”

Budki預測，比特幣在未來兩年內將回調65%至70%。儘管如此，他仍然預測比特幣在未來十年內將達到每枚100萬美元或更高的價格，並指出用戶的採用將因價格投機以及更重要的實際應用而增長。

分析師、行業高管和投資者們仍在預測比特幣何時能達到七位數的價格標籤，以及自2009年以來定義比特幣周期的市場動態在2025年是否仍然有效。

比特幣是否已經超越四年周期？

根據BitMEX加密交易所的市場分析師和聯合創始人Arthur Hayes的說法，四年比特幣周期已經結束。他表示，比特幣的價格更受宏觀經濟因素的影響，例如利率和貨幣供應的增長，而不再是周期性模式。

其他分析師則指出，機構採用的增長以及這些金融機構作為穩定力量的存在，減少了價格波動並平息了市場。根據BitcoinTreasuries.NET的數據，金融機構，包括政府、數字資產財政公司、交易所交易基金（ETF）和加密貨幣交易所，共持有超過400萬枚比特幣，幾乎占比特幣總供應量的20%。

然而，Xapo Bank的CEO Seamus Rocca告訴Cointelegraph，四年周期仍然存在，因為儘管比特幣具有價值儲存的特性，投資者目前仍將其視為風險資產。

這篇文章引發了對比特幣市場未來的深思，尤其是當前市場的波動性和投資者對比特幣的理解程度。Budki的觀點強調了教育和理解在加密貨幣投資中的重要性，這不僅關乎價格的波動，更關乎投資者的心理和行為模式。在一個充滿不確定性的市場中，如何提高對比特幣及其潛在用途的認識，將是未來投資者能否成功的關鍵。這也提醒我們，面對市場的劇烈波動，保持冷靜和理性是至關重要的。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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