歐股反彈!LVMH暴跌,川普關稅政策左右市場




歐洲股市因美國關稅政策變化而上升,LVMH因銷售不及預期股價大跌

歐洲股市週二上升,投資者正評估美國迅速變動的關稅計劃。不過,奢侈品行業的龍頭LVMH因首季銷售表現不及預期,尤其在美國和中國市場疲弱,股價大幅下跌。

泛歐STOXX 600指數上升了1.6%,大部分地區指數均錄得正數,意大利股市表現最佳,漲幅達2.4%。

LVMH股價下跌7.8%,同時失去歐洲市值最大奢侈品公司的地位,被競爭對手Hermes超越。受此影響,歐洲奢侈品和美容相關股普遍受挫,法國Christian Dior跌8.3%,西班牙美容公司Puig下跌4.4%。奢侈品指數也下跌1.5%。

Carmignac資產管理公司投資委員會成員Kevin Thozet表示:「LVMH的銷售不及預期,預示整個奢侈品行業的前景不容樂觀。」

不過,市場情緒仍然樂觀,因美國總統特朗普表示考慮調整對墨西哥、加拿大及其他國家汽車及零件進口徵收的25%關稅。汽車及零件板塊上升2.3%。

Interactive Investor市場主管Richard Hunter指出:「樂觀派開始希望白宮最新聲明代表將初期極端措施有所緩和。不過,市場仍然敏感,直到經濟關稅風險開始明朗前,這種情況可能持續。」

數週來的關稅爭議動搖了全球市場,令歐洲指數自三月創下歷史高位後下跌近10%。特朗普於4月2日首次宣布全球‘互惠’關稅,隨後又突然在上週暫緩90天,令市場波動劇烈。

即使有90天的暫緩期,歐盟仍面臨10%的廣泛關稅及鋼鐵、鋁材和汽車的更高稅率。

此外,荷蘭半導體先進封裝公司BE Semiconductor Industries(BESI)股價上升13.3%,因美國晶片設備供應商Applied Materials購入了9%股份。

荷蘭地理數據公司Fugro股價下跌14.8%,該公司宣布開始裁減美國員工並縮減當地業務,並警告銷售和盈利將低於之前預期。

投資者現正等待歐洲央行周四的政策會議,市場普遍預期將降息25個基點。

會議前夕,ZEW經濟研究機構的數據顯示,由於美國關稅帶來不確定性,德國四月份投資者信心錄得自俄烏戰爭爆發以來最強烈的下滑。

評論與啟示:

這篇報道清楚反映了全球經濟局勢如何被美國關稅政策的反覆無常所影響,並且如何直接波及歐洲股市和奢侈品行業。LVMH作為奢侈品巨頭,在美國和中國市場的疲軟,直接反映出全球消費力放緩和地緣政治風險加劇對高端消費品需求的影響。這不僅是一家公司的問題,更是整個奢侈品行業可能面臨的挑戰。

另一方面,美國總統特朗普對汽車關稅的調整態度,儘管目前仍是“考慮”階段,卻已足以令市場短暫回暖。這顯示出市場對政策風險極為敏感,且期待任何緩和舉措。這種情況提醒投資者,政治因素在當前全球經濟中扮演著比以往更為重要且不可預測的角色。

值得留意的是,歐洲央行即將降息,反映出歐洲經濟面臨下行壓力,特別是在外部不確定因素加劇的背景下。德國投資者信心的急劇下滑,更加堅定了這一判斷。對香港投資者而言,理解全球供應鏈和關稅政策的變化,以及其對跨國企業的影響,將是制定投資策略的關鍵。

最後,半導體產業的動態也值得關注。美國企業對荷蘭半導體公司的投資,顯示技術和產業鏈重組正在加速,這可能帶來長遠的市場機會。香港投資者應該密切留意科技和製造業的全球變局,尋找被低估的潛力股。

總括而言,全球經濟的不確定性讓市場波動加劇,但同時也孕育著新的投資機會。投資者需要保持警覺,深入分析宏觀經濟政策與行業趨勢,才能在變幻莫測的市場中把握先機。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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