歐洲股市小幅上漲:財報、關稅與經濟數據成焦點




歐洲股市輕微上升 投資者關注企業盈利及關稅動態

路透社報道,週二歐洲股市微升,投資者在評估一系列企業盈利報告的同時,亦密切留意潛在的關稅措施,並等待重要經濟數據的公布。

截至格林威治標準時間08:26,泛歐STOXX 600指數上漲0.2%,主要受銀行股上升推動。倫敦匯豐銀行(HSBC)股價上升2.5%,因該行宣布啟動30億美元的股份回購計劃;德意志銀行(Deutsche Bank)股價亦上漲2.7%,該行公佈首季盈利較去年同期增長39%。

CMC Markets首席市場分析師Jochen Stanzl表示:「今次盈利表現理想,因為這是首季數據,當時大部分時間尚未受到關稅影響……關鍵在於未來展望,現時仍非常不明朗,因此市場寄望於會有更好的解決方案,貿易協議能夠達成。」

美國總統特朗普政府表示,將透過減輕部分對國內製造汽車所使用外國零件徵收的關稅,來降低新汽車關稅的衝擊,同時避免對海外製造汽車徵收的關稅重疊累加。

近幾週市場因對美國與其貿易夥伴(尤其是中國)可能達成協議的樂觀情緒而趨於穩定,但中美談判缺乏明確進展,令市場仍處於緊張狀態。歐洲主要股指正面臨連續第二個月下跌的壓力。

歐洲央行理事Piero Cipollone警告,全球貿易戰將對相關國家產生「明顯的經濟衰退效應」。

其他地區指數方面,法國、西班牙及英國股市下跌0.1%至0.7%不等,德國股市則上升0.5%。

法國IT諮詢公司Capgemini公佈首季收入增長,股價上漲7.4%。然而,部分英國重量級股票表現疲弱。油企BP首季盈利不及預期,股價下跌3.5%;藥廠阿斯利康(AstraZeneca)因首季收入未達分析師預期,且中國涉嫌未繳進口稅可能面臨最高800萬美元罰款,股價下跌4.4%,拖累倫敦富時指數。

德國豪華跑車品牌保時捷(Porsche)於削減2025年多項盈利預測後,股價下跌4.9%。

投資者同時將關注當天稍後公佈的歐元區消費者信心報告,以及本週預期發布的歐元區和美國重要通脹數據。

評論與洞察

今次歐洲股市的輕微回升,反映出市場在企業盈利亮麗的推動下,暫時對貿易緊張局勢保持一定的樂觀態度。然而,這種樂觀帶有明顯的條件性——即市場寄望於貿易糾紛能夠獲得妥善解決。這種期待本身就揭示了市場的不確定性和脆弱性,一旦談判破裂或政策轉向,股市極可能迅速反轉。

特別值得注意的是,歐洲央行官員明言全球貿易戰將帶來經濟衰退風險,這提醒投資者不能僅盯住短期盈利數據,而忽略宏觀經濟環境的變化。企業盈利的短期改善,若是建立在全球貿易順暢的假設上,一旦理想破滅,風險將會集中爆發。

此外,英國市場中重量級企業如BP和阿斯利康的表現疲弱,也反映了地緣政治及監管風險對公司盈利的影響。尤其是阿斯利康在中國面臨罰款風險,突顯全球經濟中的政策和法律風險,這種風險在全球化背景下越來越難以忽視。

總結來說,投資者在欣賞眼前盈利數據帶來的短暫利好時,更應留意背後的地緣政治和宏觀經濟變數。多元化投資、審慎評估風險,以及密切跟蹤政策動向,將會是未來一段時間內應對市場波動的關鍵策略。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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