末日倒數?電腦預測:人類社會2040年崩潰!

Ai

科學家利用電腦預測社會崩潰的確切時間
結果相當可怕

Lucy Devine

一組科學家使用電腦試圖確定社會將何時崩潰,結果相當驚人。

隨著人工智能(AI)日益進步,科學家們能夠利用科技來更深入了解人類與地球的未來。

不幸的是,麻省理工學院(MIT)的一組科學家正在試圖計算社會何時會停止存在。

科學家們試圖確定社會崩潰的時間
早在1972年,MIT的團隊利用電腦模型,評估了與人口、自然資源和能源使用等相關的多個數據模式。

在進行研究後,該研究由羅馬俱樂部發表,強調即將到來的「增長極限」將導致人類社會的最終崩潰。

研究預測社會何時結束?
那麼,它預測的社會結束時間是什麼時候呢?

透過這項研究,團隊了解到社會崩潰將在21世紀的中期發生。是的,如果你忘了的話,這正是我們目前所處的世紀。

事實上,距離崩潰似乎不到二十年,具體來說約17年,因為科學家預測崩潰將在2040年來臨。

MIT團隊使用電腦模型
支持這一預測的其他研究
當時,這份報告並未受到太多重視,甚至受到一些嘲諷,《衛報》報導稱。然而,在你開始感到自滿之前,你應該知道,在2009年,另一組研究人員進行了類似的研究,得出了相似的結果。

這項較新的研究發表在《美國科學家》上,其結論認為模型的結果在2008年時「幾乎完全符合35年前的預測(在一些適當的假設下)」。

該研究指出:「重要的是要認識到,其預測並未被證明無效,事實上似乎相當準確。我們不知道有哪個經濟學家所做的模型能在如此長的時間跨度內保持如此準確。」

此外,在2021年,荷蘭可持續性研究者Gaya Herrington也確認了該研究中所作出的一些悲觀預測。

她在接受《衛報》採訪時表示:「從研究的角度來看,我認為對幾十年前的模型進行數據檢查以對比實證觀察是一項有趣的工作。」

科學家利用科技理解人類及地球的未來
Herrington發現,數據與1972年所做的預測一致,最壞的情況是經濟增長在本十年末停止,社會大約在十年後崩潰。

不過,Herrington也帶來了一些樂觀的消息。

她告訴《衛報》:「我研究的關鍵發現是,我們仍然有選擇,可以與一個不以崩潰結束的情景對齊。」

「通過商業創新,以及政府和公民社會的新發展,持續更新模型提供了另一種視角,讓我們能夠面對創造更可持續世界的挑戰和機會。」

這項研究不僅僅是關於未來的預測,它引發了對人類行為和科技進步的深思。當我們面對潛在的崩潰時,是否應該重新審視我們的生活方式和社會結構?這些研究結果提醒我們,改變是可能的,只要我們願意採取行動,重新調整我們的發展模式,未來仍然可以是光明的。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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