印度市場預計將於下半年回暖




印度市場預計將於今年晚些時候回升:Bernstein

根據Bernstein的分析師預測,印度的金融市場預計將於今年晚些時候出現回升。

在年初面臨高估值、股本風險溢價上升及盈利下調的挑戰後,隨著宏觀經濟和盈利趨勢逐漸穩定,回升的前景看起來愈加樂觀。

分析師指出,市場下跌的主要原因受到外部因素的影響,包括特朗普政府下的全球宏觀經濟不穩定,以及國內外投資流入的減弱。

Bernstein強調,儘管當前的下跌仍在持續,但有跡象顯示盈利下調周期可能已經觸底,尤其是在大型股中。

這一發展為市場在下半年潛在的復甦鋪平了道路。

關鍵行業的復甦潛力

金融、材料和消費品等關鍵行業預計將引領復甦,這得益於歷史上較低的長期增長預期,為未來12個月的市場表現提供了相對可達的基準。

然而,復甦的路途並非沒有挑戰。Bernstein指出五大關鍵風險:印度的估值指標仍高於歷史平均水平及新興市場的同行,股本風險溢價持續上升,以及對激進降息的預期可能不會如預期實現。

此外,國內投資流入已減少,雖然外國投資者的興趣有所回升,但尚未提供強有力的支持。

儘管面臨挑戰,分析師仍建議保持謹慎的樂觀態度。

他們建議投資者專注於顯示增長或復甦跡象的行業,如金融、消費品和能源,同時避免面臨盈利壓力或持續下調的行業,如醫療保健、科技和房地產。

低波動股票的投資機會

此外,建議重點投資於被低估的低波動股票,以利用預期中的復甦機會。

這些觀察不僅反映了市場的現狀,還揭示了投資者在動盪時期應採取的策略。對於面對不確定性時的投資者來說,專注於具有增長潛力的行業顯得尤為重要。

在全球經濟環境不斷變化的背景下,印度市場的回升是否能夠持續,仍需觀察各種內外部因素的影響。投資者應保持靈活,隨時調整策略以適應市場變化。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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