加密市場今日:風險情緒持續,幣種持續下跌




加密市場今日:風險情緒持續,山寨幣延續下跌

加密市場未能在星期二反彈,比特幣回吐了上星期的漲幅,而山寨幣則繼續下跌。

加密市場的風險情緒持續存在。比特幣的價格幾乎回吐了11月21日至28日的整個漲幅,表現不及美國股市,而恐懼與貪婪指數仍然處於「極度恐懼」的狀態。

根據最新數據,比特幣的期貨未平倉合約在24小時內下降了3%至6%,而比特幣的期貨基差跌至循環低點,選擇權流動性偏向看跌,賣權策略主導。

在其他幣種中,ZEC再次下跌8%,XMR和DASH則下跌5%至6%。相比之下,SKY因為回購代幣的消息和對其USDS穩定幣的興趣增長,逆勢上漲6.7%。

加密市場在星期二未能實現有效的恢復,繼續在「極度恐懼」的領域徘徊,這是因為星期一的拋售似乎侵蝕了投資者信心。

比特幣的交易價格約為87,000美元,較上星期的高點92,350美元下跌。儘管市場對12月的「聖誕反彈」抱有希望,但整體市場仍顯示出疲弱的跡象。

衍生品市場動態

比特幣、以太坊、XRP和SOL的期貨市場持續資金外流,與這些代幣相關的期貨未平倉合約在過去24小時內下降了最多6%。顯然,由於市場下跌和自動去槓桿導致的損失,投資者信心受到打擊。

比特幣的90天年化基差(期貨與現貨價格之間的差距)已跌至約4%-5%的循環低點,而以太坊的基差接近3%-4%。比特幣的30天隱含波動率指數相對於華爾街的VIX指數上升,顯示出加密市場的不確定性加劇。

ETH和BTC的30天隱含波動率指數之間的差距縮小至21.50,為5月8日以來的最窄,這一下降趨勢顯示出對比特幣未來波動的預期。

在Deribit平台上,BTC和ETH的選擇權仍然保持看跌偏好。交易者在比特幣中偏好使用賣權套利和日曆看漲期權策略,而在以太坊中則追逐風險反轉和賣權策略。

代幣市場情況

山寨幣市場在星期二繼續落後於比特幣,隨著以太坊和XRP各自下跌約0.6%,而比特幣則小幅上漲0.75%。隱私幣的損失最為明顯,ZEC再次下跌8%,一周內累計下跌33%。

Monero和DASH的表現也不佳,各自下跌5%至6%。交易者似乎已經從隱私幣的熱潮中轉移,這一熱潮現在看起來更像是一時的現象,而不是交易行為的實質改變。

CoinMarketCap的「山寨幣季節」指標仍然停滯在24/100,顯示出投資者對比特幣和少數幾個DeFi代幣的偏好,儘管市場在下滑。

其中一個受DeFi興趣影響的代幣是SKY,該代幣在星期二因宣布回購代幣而上漲6.7%。SKY的相關USDS代幣的市場價值在兩個月內從76億美元增長至95億美元,顯示出對該生態系統的興趣增長。USDS是Sky生態系統的原生穩定幣,投資者目前可以通過質押獲得4.5%的收益。

評論

目前的加密市場情況顯示出明顯的風險厭惡情緒,這對於投資者來說無疑是一個警示信號。比特幣的回調以及山寨幣的持續下跌,反映出市場對未來的不確定性和對風險資產的抵觸。這種情況可能會促使投資者重新評估他們的投資組合,尤其是在面對即將到來的經濟挑戰時。

此外,隱私幣的下跌也顯示出市場對這類資產的興趣減少,這可能與監管環境的變化有關。投資者應該密切關注市場動態,特別是衍生品市場的變化,這將為未來的價格走勢提供重要的指標。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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