以太幣交易所儲備跌至九年低位 或迎來價格反彈

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以太坊在交易所的儲備降至九年低點,供應縮減

以太坊在交易所的儲備量降至近九年來的最低水平,這可能預示著即將到來的價格反彈,這種現象稱為“供應衝擊”,即強勁的買方需求與減少的可用ETH相遇,從而導致價格上升。

根據CryptoQuant的數據,截至2月18日,以太坊在所有交易所的儲備量降至1895萬,這是自2016年7月以來的最低水平,當時以太坊的交易價格約為14美元。

以太坊的供應減少可能是一個“看漲”信號

以太坊在交易所的供應減少表明,投資者將其ETH轉移到冷錢包中以進行長期持有。根據Nansen加密情報平台的研究分析師Nicolai Sondergaard的說法,這種供應減少是一個“普遍看漲”的信號。

他告訴Cointelegraph:“我們看到比特幣也有類似的趨勢,這讓我想知道,是否是a)需求超過供應,或者b)這是一種向自我保管和冷存儲的自然轉變。”

“無論如何,我認為這對兩者都是積極的,即使上述原因可能不是這一變化的唯一因素,”這位分析師補充道。

以太坊供應的減少表明,“投資者將資產轉移到冷存儲,而不是為短期銷售做準備”,這在歷史上與減少的賣方壓力和價格穩定性相關,Bitget的首席運營官Vugar Usi Zade告訴Cointelegraph。

不過,以太坊在2750美元和2800美元的價格區間仍面臨重大阻力。

潛在的以太坊價格催化劑

根據Redstone的聯合創始人兼首席運營官Marcin Kazmierczak的說法,潛在的以太坊交易所交易基金(ETF)質押的引入也可能成為ETH價格的催化劑:“潛在的質押ETF的引入可能會成為一個遊戲改變者,進一步收緊以太坊的流動供應,並加強其作為主要投資資產的價值主張。”

根據Consensys創始人Joe Lubin的說法,以太坊ETF的發行者正期待質押的監管批准。

評論

以太坊的供應減少顯示出市場對其長期價值的信心,這在當前的加密貨幣市場中是非常重要的。隨著投資者將以太坊轉移至冷錢包,這不僅減少了市場上的流通供應,也可能降低了短期內的賣壓,從而為價格的上升創造了良好的條件。此外,質押ETF的潛在推出將為以太坊帶來更多的資金流入,進一步鞏固其在加密市場中的地位。

然而,市場仍然面臨著一定的挑戰,特別是在2750美元和2800美元的價格區間,這些阻力位需要被突破,才能真正展現出以太坊的上行潛力。投資者在這個時期應該保持警惕,密切關注市場動態,以便在合適的時機做出明智的投資決策。

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