以太坊確認看跌信號,歷史曾跌60%!




以太坊確認看跌信號,歷史上曾導致ETH下跌60%

以太坊在過去曾因類似的看跌交叉而損失了46%至60%的價值,而這一信號在今年十月再次出現。

關鍵要點:

* 以太坊價格在過去因看跌交叉而下跌60%。
* ETH必須保持在$4,000以上,以避免進一步損失。

以太坊的移動平均收斂擴散指標(MACD)在其每週圖表上發出了“賣出”信號,這一現象在歷史上通常會導致價格大幅下跌。

之前的信號導致ETH價格下跌46%-60%

以太坊的MACD指標在2025年初發出了看跌信號,當時ETH現貨價格在幾週內下跌超過60%。目前在十月出現了類似的模式,增加了未來幾天或幾週內進一步下跌的可能性。

MACD是一種流行的動量指標,常用於技術分析中,幫助交易者識別資產價格的趨勢強度、方向和持續時間。當MACD線(藍色)跌破信號線(橙色)時,通常會出現看跌交叉,歷史數據顯示,以太坊在此情況下往往會大幅下跌,之前在2024年中期和2025年第一季度的損失分別為46%和60%。

分析師CRYPTO Damus在社交媒體上表示:“我不喜歡這個以太坊每週MACD交叉轉為紅色的情況,因為這是22週的綠色後出現的。”他指出,過去三次出現這種看跌交叉後,ETH價格都出現了顯著下跌。

多頭必須保持ETH價格在$4,000以上

以太坊的價格正接近一個關鍵的轉折點,因為它正在重新測試$4,000的支撐位,這是自八月初重新獲得該水平以來一直保持的區域。多頭必須將ETH價格保持在這一水平以上,以提高恢復上升趨勢的機會。

值得注意的是,最後一次以太坊價格跌破該水平是在2021年12月,隨後價格下跌了78%,在2022年熊市中觸底約$880。

Elliott Wave分析師Man of Bitcoin在社交媒體上表示:“只要ETH價格保持在$3,899的支撐位之上,向上的直接移動仍然是可能的。”他補充道:“若跌破此水平,則意味著更大幅度的修正正在展開。”

交易者Koala指出,ETH目前正處於“每週下跌和趨勢損失”的狀態,因為它已經失去了$4,200的支撐。他表示:“我們可能會很快看到加速下跌。”

如Cointelegraph報導,目前以太坊的空頭正在控制市場,並專注於將價格推低至日線圖的下降通道下邊界$3,745。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

評論

以太坊的價格波動再次引起了市場的關注,特別是在技術指標顯示出看跌信號的背景下。這提醒投資者,市場情緒和技術分析在加密貨幣交易中至關重要。隨著以太坊面臨的壓力增大,投資者需要謹慎行事,並密切關注市場動態。這也反映出加密市場的高風險特性,任何一個信號都可能引發劇烈的價格變動,投資者應該做好充分的風險管理。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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