以太坊短期風險:比特幣對沖策略解析




10x Research認為做空以太幣可作為比特幣的對沖

根據10x Research的報告,隨著比特幣持續吸引機構資金,以太坊相關公司逐漸面臨資金枯竭的問題,這使得以太幣成為尋求對沖數字資產風險的投資者的潛在做空機會。

報告指出,比特幣仍然是機構投資的主要焦點,而以太坊則顯示出結構性弱點。分析師表示,圍繞以太坊的「數字資產庫存」敘事使得機構積累ETH,然後將其分配給零售投資者,但這一模式現在因為缺乏透明度以及不確定的資本流動而開始崩潰。

10x Research引用了財庫公司BitMine作為案例,指出其策略使機構投資者能夠以平價累積ETH,並在稍後以溢價分配給零售買家,這種反饋循環持續推高價格。

研究人員還指出,幾個技術指標顯示,如果以太幣的支撐位在$3,000附近失守,價格可能會急劇下跌,甚至降至約$2,700。

以太坊財庫公司仍然看好市場風險

根據行業數據,目前有15家以太坊專注的數字資產財庫公司,共持有470萬ETH。BitMine是最大的,擁有約330萬ETH,其次是SharpLink,持有約859,853 ETH,以及Bit Digital,持有150,244 ETH。

儘管以太坊市場近期波動,包括來自美國現貨交易所交易基金(ETFs)的需求減少,BitMine的主席Tom Lee仍然保持樂觀。他在上個月的言論中重申,以太幣的價格可能在今年達到$10,000,並認為該資產自2021年以來已建立了穩固的基礎。

儘管Lee的樂觀情緒,但市場在10月10日的崩盤後仍然感到謹慎,該事件使約190億美元的加密資產被清算,成為有史以來最大的清算事件。自那以後,以太坊及整個數字資產領域都難以恢復動力。

在當前的市場環境中,投資者需要謹慎考量,因為以太坊的結構性弱點可能使其在面對比特幣強勁表現時更脆弱。這也反映出在數字資產市場中,機構投資者的資金流向和策略變化可能會對價格波動產生重大影響。隨著市場的不確定性加劇,投資者應該密切關注這些動態,以便做出更明智的投資決策。

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Create a highly detailed, artistic portrait of a young East Asian woman embodying a “Imada Mio-inspired” doll-like aesthetic (精緻洋娃娃臉). She has large, sparkling round eyes full of warmth and expression, a delicate V-shaped face with soft contours, and subtly flushed, rosy cheeks. Her lips are naturally plump and softly tinted, and her facial expression combines innocence, playful energy, and a touch of flirtatiousness.

Her hair is long, dark brown, and appears tousled as if she has just awakened—soft, voluminous, and gently messy (剛睡醒的凌亂感). Stray strands fall around her delicate face and shoulders, capturing the texture and natural flow of freshly mussed morning hair.

She is dressed in an oversized, translucent white men’s button-down shirt (男友風白襯衫), with the top buttons casually undone to reveal delicate collarbones and a hint of bare skin beneath, evoking a sensual yet pure “bottomless” (下衣失蹤風格) look. The shirt drapes gracefully, with natural folds and slight translucency, enhancing the softness and allure of the scene.

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