亞洲基金經理對日本持樂觀態度,對中國看法轉為平衡

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亞洲基金經理對日本保持樂觀,對中國態度轉為平衡 – 美銀調查

根據美國銀行(BofA)的一項調查,亞洲基金經理對日本股票的看法依然樂觀,儘管對該國的政治和貨幣政策前景存在日益增加的不確定性。

對中國的情緒則顯得更加平衡,儘管投資者仍然預測經濟會增強,但對北京推出更多刺激措施的熱情有所減少。

這項涵蓋213名受訪者、管理總資產達5650億美元的調查顯示,約45%的受訪者對日本的持倉評級為“增持”,這是所有市場中最高的比例。調查在11月1日至7日進行。

只有8%的受訪者對中國持增持評級,而對於菲律賓和台灣的增持比例則各為5%。

日本依然是亞洲最受歡迎的市場,其次是中國。相對而言,8%的受訪者對澳大利亞和印度持減持評級,而對南韓的減持比例為11%。

儘管對特朗普可能再次當選總統後亞洲市場的影響存在不確定性,但美銀的調查顯示,對亞洲市場的整體情緒仍然相對樂觀。

特朗普已承諾對中國徵收高額貿易關稅,並提高對其他亞洲國家的進口關稅,這些政策可能會在未來幾年給該地區帶來經濟挑戰。然而,交易者目前正在觀望特朗普明年上任後,具體會施加多少關稅。

儘管日經指數在十月底的反彈後回落,日本股票仍然受到青睞。美銀指出,投資者在最新的調查中略微調整了回報預期,因為盈利預期回歸正常,而日本的估值仍然較高。

在各個行業中,美銀表示,儘管近期半導體股票出現下滑,亞洲投資者對“科技熱潮”的偏好依然存在。

在中國,投資者對人工智能、半導體和互聯網股票持偏好,尤其是隨著回購和分紅策略的推動,這些領域的吸引力持續增強。

這項調查反映了目前市場對日本的持續看好,尤其是在全球經濟增長放緩和不確定性加大的背景下。日本的穩定性和相對較高的估值使其成為資本流入的主要目的地。然而,投資者對中國的態度變化,顯示出市場對刺激措施的期待減少,這可能預示著中國未來經濟增長的挑戰。

在此情況下,亞洲基金經理的樂觀情緒反映出對日本市場的信心,但同時也顯示出對中國市場的謹慎態度,這在當前經濟環境下是合理的。隨著全球市場的不確定性增加,投資者的選擇將更加謹慎,尤其是在政策變化和貿易關係等因素影響下。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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