中國科技股能否逆轉五角大樓壓力?




中國科技股能否在五角大樓審查下再度反彈?

瑞銀(UBS)指出,投資者應該不必過度理會本週的負面消息,儘管彭博社報導稱五角大樓已建議將阿里巴巴(Alibaba)、百度(Baidu)及比亞迪(BYD)列入其「1260H條款清單」。該清單是美國政府用來標示被認為支持中國軍方的公司。

瑞銀全球財富管理首席投資官馬克·海費勒(Mark Haefele)在報告中提到,消息一出後,香港上市的相關股票股價下跌約1.4%至2.7%,表現略遜於恒生科技指數。不過,瑞銀強調這份報告尚未獲得正式確認,且相關公司均已反駁指控。

阿里巴巴回應稱,沒有任何理由將其納入清單,且其業務「與美國軍事採購無關」。

瑞銀認為,雖然此類消息可能引發市場波動並吸引媒體關注,但投資者不應因此忽略中國科技板塊堅韌的基本面以及政策環境的持續改善。

分析師指出,中國的人工智能(AI)企業持續在創新和商業化方面取得進展,AI資本支出同比增長57%。儘管2023至2025年間中國在AI領域的投入僅約為美國的18%,瑞銀認為這為中國的成長和追趕留有充足空間。

此外,外交局勢亦有改善跡象。瑞銀指出,五角大樓的所謂信件早於近期特朗普與習近平達成的貿易休戰協議,美國財政部長也暗示特朗普可能在2026年與習近平會面多達四次。白宮似乎致力於「維持穩定並避免局勢升級」。

瑞銀總結,中國科技股依然是全球最具信心的股票投資標的之一,近期的調整反而為尚未充分配置的投資者提供了誘人的買入機會。

評論與深入分析

這篇報道揭示了中美科技領域的複雜博弈背景,尤其是在地緣政治與軍事安全考量下,美國對中國科技巨頭的審視日益嚴格。然而,瑞銀的觀點提供了一個相對樂觀的視角,強調基本面和政策支持仍然是推動中國科技股長期成長的關鍵。

值得注意的是,市場對消息的短期反應往往較為劇烈,但真正決定股價走勢的,還是企業的技術能力、市場佔有率以及國家政策的扶持力度。中國在AI和新能源汽車等領域的快速發展,確實為相關企業提供了強勁的成長動力。

此外,中美之間的外交努力和貿易談判,雖然充滿不確定性,但從近期趨勢看,雙方都有意維持一定的穩定,避免過度對抗,這對市場信心是一大利好。

投資者在面對類似政治風險時,應更加注重分散投資和長期視角,而非被短期消息牽動。對香港及國際投資者而言,中國科技股的波動同時帶來機會與挑戰,如何把握政策變化和技術趨勢,將是未來投資成功的關鍵。

總括來說,五角大樓的審查雖然加劇市場不確定性,但中國科技股的內在價值和發展潛力依然值得期待。投資者應保持警覺,同時不失對中國科技創新動力的信心。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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