【貿戰風雲】印度減稅抵銷美國關稅衝擊GDP增長




印度稅改部分抵消關稅對GDP增長的衝擊:首席經濟顧問

印度首席經濟顧問(CEA)V Anantha Nageswaran表示,美國對印度商品加徵關稅的影響將被近期消費稅減稅部分抵消,這些減稅措施有望促進國內需求。由印度總理納倫德拉·莫迪領導的政府宣布的商品和服務稅(GST)減稅將對印度經濟產生「補償作用」。

他說,關稅增加和國內稅收降低的淨影響將使今年的GDP增長預估值下降0.2-0.3個百分點。

印度當前財政年度的GDP增長預估值為6.3-6.8%。

「GST改革將起到很好的抵消作用,通過國內需求替代可能無法實現的美國出口需求,」Nageswaran說。

他還表示,美國對印度商品加徵關稅的初步影響將在當前財政年度受到限制,但美國對印度購買俄羅斯石油施加25%懲罰性關稅的不確定性可能會對南亞經濟產生影響。

作為編輯,我認為印度政府的稅改措施是明智的,旨在平衡國內經濟增長和外部貿易壓力。稅改部分抵消關稅對GDP增長的衝擊,顯示政府對國內需求的重視和促進經濟增長的決心。然而,長期來看,印度仍需關注全球貿易環境的變化和國內經濟結構的調整,以實現可持續的經濟增長。

此外,我注意到印度政府在稅改方面的努力,但也需要關注稅改對財政收入的影響。稅收減免可能會減少政府收入,進而影響公共支出和社會福利計劃。因此,政府需要謹慎平衡稅改的力度和財政收入的穩定,以確保經濟增長和社會穩定的雙贏。

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