「Pump.fun:Memecoin暴跌,生存率不足1%!」




生態系統

Pump.fun的迷因幣以創紀錄的速度消亡,存活率不足1%

Pump.fun的迷因幣正在失敗,並且正在拖累比特幣一同下滑。

Pump.fun上的迷因幣熱潮正面臨瓶頸,該平台的“畢業率”已連續四週低於1%。所謂“畢業率”,是指那些通過孵化階段並在Solana去中心化交易所(DEX)上變得完全可交易的代幣。要達到畢業,代幣必須滿足特定的流動性和交易要求。

根據Dune Analytics的數據,自2月17日以來,Pump.fun的畢業率首次保持在1%以下。

Pump.fun的代幣成功率下降。來源:Dune Analytics

Pump.fun的畢業率從來不是特別高。該平台表現最佳的一週是在2024年11月,當時1.67%的迷因幣進入了公開市場。然而,當時推出的代幣數量龐大,使得這一百分比顯得更為重要。在11月11日那週,Pump.fun創建了323,000個代幣,這意味著1.67%的畢業率轉化為約5,400個代幣在一週內進入Solana的DeFi經濟。

隨著Pump.fun和Solana上的代幣創建量下降,每週的代幣畢業數量已經降至約1,500個,這是根據Dune的數據所顯示的四週平均數。

迷因幣正在消亡,卻對市場正面信號毫無反應

Pump.fun的畢業率下降反映出投資者對迷因幣的興趣減退,這些代幣已經被視為不理性的賭注或創作者的快速獲利工具。

幾位政治人物也推出了自己的迷因幣,包括美國總統唐納德·特朗普。根據CoinGecko的數據,他的代幣從1月19日的歷史高點下跌了84%。

根據Matrixport的報告,儘管流動性有所改善,迷因幣的困境仍然持續。Matrixport的分析師在2月指出,美元走強對比特幣價格造成了壓力,因為美元計價的流動性收緊。

自那時以來,美元已經走弱。在過去的一個月中,美國美元指數(DXY)在2月28日達到107.61的高點,然後在3月14日降至103.95。

DXY在過去一個月的表現顯示美元走弱。來源:TradingView

Matrixport在報告中指出:“美元最近走弱,導致流動性指標回升以及一些邊際的通脹數據改善。儘管這些正面變化,迷因幣——在這次牛市期間曾是最強的敘事之一——依然面臨重大困難,沒有明顯的恢復。”

比特幣受到迷因幣後續影響

根據Matrixport的報告,困境中的迷因幣市場已經導致加密市場市值蒸發了1萬億美元。

報告指出:“這種財富的重新分配可能會使投資者在進一步投入資本時保持謹慎,導致反彈——即使是因為通脹數據好於預期而引發的反彈——也會受到限制。”

Matrixport的分析師警告,這可能會導致比特幣進一步下滑,可能回撤至73,000美元,這一水平被認為會提供“強有力的支撐”。

在這篇文章中,我們可以看到迷因幣市場的衰退不僅影響了相關代幣的表現,還對整個加密市場造成了深遠的影響。投資者的信心正在受到考驗,尤其是在迷因幣被視為一種不穩定的投資選擇後,這可能會使他們對其他加密資產的投資變得更加謹慎。此外,這也反映出加密市場的波動性,尤其是在經濟環境不斷變化的背景下,投資者需要更加謹慎地評估風險與回報。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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