「Citi推介:把握2025年S&P500首次回調機會!」

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買入S&P 500上半年的回調,花旗告訴客戶

投資網絡報導——在周一發給客戶的報告中,花旗的分析師呼籲投資者把握2025年初S&P 500可能出現的回調機會,並指出強勁的基本面和長期增長驅動因素可能會帶來另一個雙位數的盈利增長年。

花旗指出:“估值和隱含的增長預期為未來一年設定了高標準”,強調S&P 500公司在“無周期”宏觀環境中展現出的樂觀前景。

該銀行補充說,儘管市場波動性加劇,但效率提升和長期順風因素增強了花旗的信心。

花旗設定了2025年底S&P 500的目標為6,500點,這一目標基於預計的指數每股收益(EPS)為270美元。

然而,花旗也承認存在風險,包括“美聯儲減息的可能性降低”和“投機性資產泡沫”。

“總體而言,這種形勢,加上近期沒有真正的修正,確實使市場更容易受到波動性的影響,”花旗寫道。“如果基本面故事成立,我們將在S&P 500的上半年前調時進行買入。”

花旗的展望突出了2025年第一季的平衡行業策略。該公司將醫療保健的評級提高至超配,與通訊、能源和金融行業一起。

相反,消費者選擇品類被降級至低配,這與工業、消費品和材料類行業一致。

花旗還強調了一種槓鈴策略,以平衡增長主題和周期性行業,以應對估值和通脹風險。

這一策略被認為與其更廣泛的主題展望相一致,該展望優先考慮由利潤率和運營效率驅動的質量改善。

分析師總結道:“美國股票市場仍在適應後疫情時代的變化。雖然通脹的主要問題已經過去,但商品和服務的高價格水平仍然是一個持續的挑戰。”

這篇文章的分析不僅為投資者提供了未來的投資策略建議,也顯示了市場對於經濟狀況的敏感度。花旗的看法反映出在不確定的市場環境中,投資者需要靈活應對,並在風險和回報之間找到平衡。隨著2025年的臨近,如何在變化莫測的市場中保持盈利,將成為投資者面臨的主要挑戰。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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