「歐洲股市回暖,美國依然強勢」




儘管歐洲股市上漲,美國例外主義仍是大多數人的行事指南

根據巴克萊銀行(Barclays)的分析,歐洲股市在15年內迎來了第二好的開局,主要受益於大型股和周期性股票的上漲。像SAP、ASML及LVMH等股票已經占據了SX5E指數年初至今漲幅的一半以上,該地區也受惠於利率的穩定、第四季度早期財報的良好表現,以及美國總統特朗普暫時不加徵關稅。

巴克萊指出,年初至今的表現僅僅是對去年創下的紀錄性低迷表現的反彈,並強調歐洲的反彈目前仍集中於少數大型企業。分析師解釋,烏克蘭的停火、德國的促進增長政策轉變以及法國預算的通過等積極發展,可能會為該地區的追趕美國的貿易提供進一步動力。

儘管有這些增長,該行的分析師注意到全球投資者對歐洲結構性增長潛力的懷疑。報告指出:「我們的全球客戶反饋顯示,並沒有太多人重新配置資金或投入新資金到歐洲。」

巴克萊認為,這種猶豫源於歐洲的「缺乏自助」和對全球貿易的過度依賴,使得其經濟前景相比美國顯得不那麼吸引。儘管歐洲提供了正面驚喜的低門檻和一些具吸引力的機會,分析師強調,「美國例外主義仍然是大多數人的行事指南」。

在擁有更具活力的經濟和結構性增長動力的情況下,美國繼續主導全球股票投資組合,對許多投資者來說,歐洲仍然是次要考量。巴克萊還認為,「PMI指數和大型科技公司的財報將對歐洲追趕的下一步至關重要」。

這些觀察揭示了當前市場的複雜性,尤其是在全球經濟不確定性高漲的背景下。歐洲雖然展現出一些積極的增長跡象,但投資者仍需謹慎評估其長期潛力。這也顯示了美國市場的強勁表現如何影響全球投資者的資金流向,儘管歐洲的某些行業可能會提供短期的機會,但整體而言,美國的經濟結構和增長潛力仍然更具吸引力。未來,隨著PMI和科技企業的財報出爐,市場的動態可能會有所改變,值得投資者密切關注。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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